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Trump's Tariffs Drive Mortgage Rates to Six-Month Low, Spurring Lender Competition

The U.S. housing market sees temporary relief with falling rates and rising inventory, but inflation risks and affordability challenges persist.

Overview

  • Mortgage rates have dropped to 6.55%, their lowest level since October 2024, following President Trump's tariff announcement, which pushed investors toward safe-haven Treasury bonds.
  • Lenders are expected to launch a competitive price war in response to falling swap rates, with some institutions already cutting mortgage rates by up to 0.21 percentage points.
  • Increased housing inventory and slower price growth are giving buyers more negotiating power, though affordability remains a significant challenge for many Americans.
  • Economists warn that the tariffs could eventually fuel inflation, potentially reversing the current decline in mortgage rates and increasing long-term borrowing costs.
  • Despite the temporary boost in purchasing power due to lower rates, housing costs remain near record highs, keeping many potential buyers on the sidelines.

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