Overview

• The Norwegian Nobel Committee will reveal the 2025 Peace Prize on Oct. 10 in Oslo, with 338 nominations kept confidential for 50 years.
• President Trump is promoting his case with a 20-point Gaza proposal and the claim he "ended seven wars" in seven months.
• Despite publicized endorsements from leaders such as Benjamin Netanyahu and several governments, his nomination status for 2025 remains uncertain because the deadline passed on Jan. 31.
• SIPRI’s Karim Haggag argues Trump’s interventions yielded only provisional de-escalations rather than durable settlements, making an award hard to justify.
• Regional officials welcomed renewed U.S. engagement as Israeli and Hamas representatives discuss the plan in Egypt, but key tests remain on hostage releases and Hamas disarmament, while betting markets favor a mix of activists and leaders including Abir Hadsch Ibrahim, Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Julia Navalnaya.