Overview

• The five-member Norwegian Nobel Committee makes its decision in a confidential vote, so nominations from visiting leaders and U.S. lawmakers do not translate into support.
• Committee chair Jorgen Watne Frydnes has condemned Trump’s attacks on the press, member Kristin Clemet wrote he is dismantling U.S. democracy, and fellow member Gry Larsen previously posted messages critical of him.
• The remaining two members have not publicly criticized Trump, including Asle Toje, who has written sympathetically about his legal cases.
• Trump has touted recent ceasefires and summit diplomacy, including an Aug. 8 signing with Armenia and Azerbaijan, yet he has acknowledged the committee may never give him the prize.
• This year’s award will be announced in October after a January nomination cutoff, and an Oslo research institute’s shortlist highlights other prospects such as Qatar’s prime minister, the Carter Center and the International Criminal Court.