Overview
- Trump claims he ended seven wars and is promoting a 20‑point Gaza plan as the centerpiece of his case, with regional talks reported and some initial signals from Hamas but no durable agreement.
- Foreign leaders including Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu and the governments of Pakistan, Cambodia, Armenia and Azerbaijan publicly said they put his name forward, while Taiwan’s president offered a future nomination if he deters Chinese military action.
- Whether Trump is formally in contention for 2025 is uncertain because the nomination deadline passed shortly after he took office and the committee keeps the candidate list confidential for 50 years.
- Peace researchers such as SIPRI’s Karim Haggag argue the cited achievements are de‑escalations rather than lasting settlements, making an award hard to justify at this stage.
- Betting markets and analysts highlight other contenders, with Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms frequently favored ahead of figures like Julia Navalnaya, Abir Hadsch Ibrahim and Volodymyr Zelenskyy.