Overview

• Norway’s Nobel Committee rejected viral claims that Donald Trump was removed or disqualified and reiterated that nominations and deliberations remain confidential for 50 years.
• Trump has mounted an unusually public push for the prize and highlighted nominations from Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu, the governments of Pakistan and Cambodia, and U.S. Rep. Buddy Carter, though late endorsements may not count toward this year’s award.
• Specialists and Norwegian observers widely rate his chances as low, noting the committee’s focus on durable achievements for peace and cautioning that overt lobbying can be counterproductive.
• Reporters and experts dispute the administration’s list of “seven” or more conflicts he says he ended, and major wars he pledged to resolve, including in Gaza and Ukraine, are still ongoing despite recent cease-fire efforts.
• With no clear favorite, floated alternatives include Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms, Yulia Navalnaya, election watchdog ODIHR, and UN agencies, while betting markets assign Trump only low single-digit odds.