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Trump's Immigration Policies Drive Decline in Modelo Sales Among Hispanic Consumers

Constellation Brands lowers profit forecasts as deportation fears and economic pressures disrupt key markets.

Corona and Modelo beers from Mexico are displayed for sale at a Whole Foods store on February 03, 2025 in New York City. U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order enacting 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico and also placing a 10% levy on imports from China. Since it's signing, U.S. and Mexico reached an agreement that will delay a 25% tariff on all Mexican imports for one month, after Mexico agreed to ramp up security at its border.
Bottles of the beer, Modelo, a brand of Constellation Brands Inc., sit on a supermarket shelf in Los Angeles, California April 1, 2015.  REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo

Overview

  • Constellation Brands, owner of Modelo Especial, reports a slowdown in beer sales in Hispanic-majority areas, citing reduced social gatherings due to immigration crackdowns.
  • CEO William Newlands highlights that fears of deportation are discouraging Hispanic consumers from frequenting restaurants and holding group events, key occasions for beer consumption.
  • The company has revised its annual profit projections downward, with additional pressure from tariffs on aluminum and broader economic challenges.
  • Market analysts note that discretionary spending among Hispanic consumers has declined faster than among non-Hispanic groups, reflecting broader economic and policy-driven uncertainties.
  • Modelo Especial, previously a top-selling beer in the U.S., is losing momentum after years of growth fueled by a more lenient immigration landscape.