Overview

• Multiple major surveys now show negative net approval, and Nate Silver’s tracker touched a second‑term low near −10 before a slight rebound driven by an outlier.
• The latest Economist/YouGov poll puts approval at 39% and disapproval at 56%, with new lows among Hispanics (25% approve, 71% disapprove), women, and seniors.
• Harvard CAPS/Harris finds 58% say tariffs are harming the economy, 56% say Trump is losing on inflation, and 52% say his policies are reducing jobs, even as the White House highlights strong public backing for many stated priorities.
• Early post‑shutdown polling shows more Americans fault Republicans and Trump than Democrats for the funding lapse, though overall approval movement remains small in a polarized environment.
• Independents trend away from the GOP in recent data, including a 10‑point edge for Democrats on a congressional preference question, even as a NYT/Siena poll shows only a narrow national generic ballot lead for Democrats.