Overview
- An Emerson College survey conducted Nov. 3–4 finds 41% approve of President Trump and 49% disapprove, marking his lowest rating of the second term.
- The result reflects a slide from 45% approval in October and from a January high of 49%, within a margin of error of plus or minus 3 points.
- Emerson’s Spencer Kimball reports notable erosion: Republican approval fell from 91% to 79%, independent disapproval rose from 44% to 51%, and Hispanic views shifted to 54% disapproval after 39% approval earlier.
- Analysts say the downturn coincides with the prolonged government shutdown and recent Democratic off-year victories, while stressing the limits of attributing direct causation.
- Electoral indicators favor Democrats for 2026, with a 44%–40% generic congressional edge, higher turnout enthusiasm (71% vs. 60%), and 43% of voters saying they would cast ballots to oppose Trump.