Overview

• Major mid-July polls including Big Data Poll, Atlas Intel and Newsweek’s tracker register Trump’s net approval below zero for the first time in his second term.
• Big Data Poll’s July 12–14 survey shows 48% approving and 49% disapproving of his performance, marking his first underwater rating with that firm since reentering office.
• Discontent over the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, immigration enforcement and recent foreign policy actions has eroded Trump’s broader appeal beyond his core base.
• Only 37% of independent voters now approve of Trump’s job performance, compared with 56.6% who disapprove, indicating a sharp decline in this swing group.
• Support among 18–29 year-olds has plunged while voters aged 30–49 and college-educated adults remain comparatively more favorable, highlighting widening generational and educational divides.