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Trump's Approval in New Jersey Matches Disapproval, Surpasses Local Leaders

A new poll shows President Trump at 47% approval in traditionally Democratic New Jersey, outpacing both Governor Murphy and President Biden's past ratings, as immigration policies resonate with voters.

President Donald Trump attends a business meeting at Qasr Al Watan, Friday, May 16, 2025, in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
President Donald Trump speaks at the White House on May 7, 2025 in Washington, D.C. Former President Joe Biden speaks at the White House on May 31, 2024.
Phil Murphy, governor of New Jersey, speaks during an election night event in Asbury Park, New Jersey, U.S., on Wednesday, Nov. 3, 2021. Murphy is locked in a tight race with Republican challenger Jack Ciattarelli in his bid for a second term. Photographer: Angus Mordant/Bloomberg

Overview

  • An Emerson College/PIX11/The Hill poll conducted May 11–13, 2025, shows President Trump with a 47% approval rating among New Jersey registered voters, equal to his disapproval rating.
  • Trump's approval surpasses Governor Phil Murphy's 40.1% and exceeds President Biden's 40% rating in the state from spring 2024.
  • Nearly half of respondents (46%) believe recent deportations have made their communities safer, reflecting support for Trump's immigration stance.
  • New Jersey, a state that last voted Republican in a presidential election in 1988, has seen a steady shift toward the GOP, with Trump narrowing Democratic margins since 2016.
  • The poll highlights a broader political realignment, with Trump's gains in suburban and swing areas potentially reshaping the 2028 electoral map.