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Trump's Approval in New Jersey Matches Disapproval, Surpasses Local Leaders

A new poll shows President Trump at 47% approval in traditionally Democratic New Jersey, outpacing both Governor Murphy and President Biden's past ratings, as immigration policies resonate with voters.

Overview

  • An Emerson College/PIX11/The Hill poll conducted May 11–13, 2025, shows President Trump with a 47% approval rating among New Jersey registered voters, equal to his disapproval rating.
  • Trump's approval surpasses Governor Phil Murphy's 40.1% and exceeds President Biden's 40% rating in the state from spring 2024.
  • Nearly half of respondents (46%) believe recent deportations have made their communities safer, reflecting support for Trump's immigration stance.
  • New Jersey, a state that last voted Republican in a presidential election in 1988, has seen a steady shift toward the GOP, with Trump narrowing Democratic margins since 2016.
  • The poll highlights a broader political realignment, with Trump's gains in suburban and swing areas potentially reshaping the 2028 electoral map.