Overview
- An Emerson College/PIX11/The Hill poll conducted May 11–13, 2025, shows President Trump with a 47% approval rating among New Jersey registered voters, equal to his disapproval rating.
- Trump's approval surpasses Governor Phil Murphy's 40.1% and exceeds President Biden's 40% rating in the state from spring 2024.
- Nearly half of respondents (46%) believe recent deportations have made their communities safer, reflecting support for Trump's immigration stance.
- New Jersey, a state that last voted Republican in a presidential election in 1988, has seen a steady shift toward the GOP, with Trump narrowing Democratic margins since 2016.
- The poll highlights a broader political realignment, with Trump's gains in suburban and swing areas potentially reshaping the 2028 electoral map.