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3w ago

Trump’s 50% Tariff on Indian Imports Fuels Inflation Fears and Diplomatic Rift

The punitive levy faces WTO challenges from New Delhi, solidarity actions by BRICS partners, growing U.S. warnings over rising inflation, recession risks

The Port of Oakland saw a sizable surge in imports last month, likely due to companies trying to front load product ahead of expected tariffs.
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Overview

  • President Trump doubled India’s tariff rate to 50% in early August under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, imposing the highest U.S. import duties since 1933.
  • New Delhi denounced the punitive measure as unfair, formally lodged a WTO dispute and secured solidarity pledges from BRICS partners.
  • Economists warn the large duties are stoking U.S. consumer price inflation, squeezing profit margins and raising stagflation risks with a roughly 40% chance of recession.
  • The Federal Reserve paused planned rate cuts in response to rising price pressures as Congress and federal courts debate curbs on presidential emergency tariff powers.
  • President Trump touted record stock market gains and federal revenue inflows from the tariffs and warned that court rulings against them could trigger a “1929-style” depression.