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Trump's $2,000 Tariff Dividend Hinges on Congressional Action

Independent analyses question whether tariff receipts could fund the plan’s cost.

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Kevin Hassett, Director of the National Economic Council, speaks to the media outside the White House in Washington, D.C.
Trump's $2,000 Stimulus Check before 2025 ends is still a unicorn
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Overview

  • The White House plans to submit a formal proposal in early 2026, according to National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett.
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Congress must authorize any payments, with possible income limits such as a sub-$100,000 cutoff still undecided.
  • The Tax Foundation and the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimate the plan could cost roughly $280 billion to about $600 billion, outpacing projected tariff revenue.
  • The Supreme Court is reviewing the administration’s tariff authority, a decision that could reduce available revenue or trigger refunds to importers.
  • No payments are expected in 2025, with mid-2026 timing only possible if Congress acts, while a separate $1,776 'Warrior dividend' to service members has already been paid from Defense Department funds.