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Trump’s 100% Tariff Threat on Russian Oil Buyers Draws Skepticism and Price Warnings

Analysts warn the 50-day ceasefire ultimatum backed by looming tariffs may be too blunt to enforce.

A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo
U.S. President Donald Trump and Russia's President Vladimir Putin talk during the family photo session at the APEC Summit in Danang, Vietnam November 11, 2017. REUTERS/Jorge Silva/File Photo
Russian President Vladimir Putin listens to Minister of Justice of the Russian Federation Konstantin Chuychenko during their meeting at the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia, Tuesday, July 22, 2025.
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Overview

  • President Trump has given Russia 50 days to agree to a Ukraine ceasefire or see 100% secondary tariffs on any country importing its oil.
  • Senators Lindsey Graham and Richard Blumenthal are pushing a bipartisan bill that would impose up to 500% duties on goods from nations buying Russian energy, pending White House support.
  • Experts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies and Rapidan Energy Group caution that full tariff enforcement could drive crude above $100 a barrel and U.S. gasoline past $4 a gallon.
  • Analysts including Nicholas Fenton and Fernando Ferreira highlight significant diplomatic and logistical hurdles that could undermine the credibility and practicability of secondary tariffs.
  • Former Deputy Treasury Secretary Wally Adeyemo says rolling back renewable energy tax credits will leave U.S. consumers more exposed to global oil shocks and weaken a key national security tool.