Overview
- President Trump posted an ultimatum on Truth Social on Thursday saying tariffs on Mexico would be doubled immediately if Mexico does not stop caravans from reaching the U.S. border.
- Reporters corroborated a caravan moving north from Tapachula made up of roughly 1,500–2,000 mostly Central American migrants who organized travel through social media and messaging apps.
- Mexico’s president Claudia Sheinbaum said no caravan has reached the country’s northern border since Trump returned to office and described Mexican measures to assist and inform people arriving in the south.
- The tariff threat complicates ongoing U.S.–Mexico talks over autos, steel and other duties and faces legal uncertainty after a February 2026 Supreme Court decision that limited emergency tariff authority under IEEPA.
- The dispute could hit Mexican exporters and cross‑border supply chains, reshape bilateral negotiations, and further harden U.S. immigration policy after Stephen Miller’s appointment as chief of staff.