Overview
- President Trump has demanded that China and India stop importing discounted Russian oil to deprive Moscow of funds for its war in Ukraine.
- He warned of substantial tariff hikes on Indian exports, extending a current 10% surcharge that is set to rise to 25% later this week.
- Beijing and New Delhi have refused to yield, citing the economic benefits and energy security provided by crude priced below Brent.
- Since the EU embargo on Russian maritime crude in January 2023, China and India have bought more than $219.5 billion and $133.4 billion worth of Russian energy products respectively.
- Russia has sidestepped the G7 price cap through a “ghost fleet” of older tankers and non-sanctioning insurers and is projected to earn about $153 billion from oil exports in 2025.