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Trump Team Weighs Myanmar Policy Shift to Tap Rebel-Controlled Rare Earth Deposits

Last week’s lifting of sanctions on junta-linked figures opened channels for talks with the Kachin Independence Army as officials weigh tariff relief, envoy deployment and an India-led processing venture

A soldier from the Kachin Independence Army (KIA) puts on his shoes as he and his comrade cross a stream towards the front line in Laiza, Kachin state, January 29, 2013. REUTERS/David Johnson/File Photo

Overview

  • The administration remains in exploratory stages with no final decisions on altering longstanding Myanmar policy
  • Heavy rare earths in Kachin State are vital for U.S. defense technologies and nearly all global processing is currently dominated by China
  • Last week the administration lifted sanctions on several junta-linked individuals to pave the way for negotiations
  • During a July 17 meeting in Vice President Vance’s office, advisers heard proposals from lobbyist Adam Castillo and economist Sean Turnell though Vance himself did not attend
  • Officials are considering easing 40% tariffs, appointing a special envoy and partnering with India through the Quad, but remote terrain and potential Chinese interference threaten supply chain feasibility