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Trump Tariffs Drive Surge in UK Profit Warnings and Market Losses

April 2025 saw a 24% rise in UK-listed company profit warnings, with half citing tariff-related trade disruptions and share prices falling sharply.

President Trump displays a signed executive order imposing tariffs on imported goods on April 2, which he called “liberation day”
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Overview

  • UK-listed companies issued 26 profit warnings in April 2025, a 24% increase from the same month last year, reversing a decline in Q1 warnings.
  • Half of April’s profit warnings directly or indirectly attributed financial struggles to the trade disruptions caused by President Trump’s tariff hikes on steel, aluminum, and cars.
  • Companies issuing profit warnings experienced an average share price drop of 19% on the day of their announcements, reflecting heightened investor concerns.
  • Global firms, including General Motors, Kraft Heinz, and PepsiCo, also flagged tariff impacts, signaling widespread economic repercussions from the trade policy shifts.
  • Key drivers of profit warnings included contract and order cancellations (40%), policy and geopolitical uncertainty (26%), and labor market challenges (18%).