Trump Support Collapses Among Immigrant Voters
CNN analysis links the sharp decline to anger over deportation policies and warns weaker GOP loyalty in competitive races could help Democrats win normally Republican seats.
Overview
- CNN data analyst Harry Enten presented polling aggregates showing immigrant voters swung from roughly minus-2 net approval in late 2024 to about minus-46 in recent polling.
- Polling cited by Enten finds about 60% of immigrant respondents say the president has gone too far on deportations, a leading reason for the drop in support.
- Enten reported that Republicans currently retain a smaller share of 2024 Trump voters in key Senate contests at about 79% compared with Democrats retaining about 92% of 2024 Harris voters.
- A similar pattern appears in House races, where roughly 82% of 2024 Trump voters back Republican House candidates versus 92% of Harris 2024 voters staying with Democrats.
- Analysts say these shifts could translate into Democratic gains in otherwise Republican-leaning states because lower GOP retention and immigrant defections can change tight midterm margins.