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Trump Says $2,000 Tariff Dividends Would Arrive Next Year as Plan Faces Legal and Fiscal Scrutiny

Checks require congressional authorization, with a pending Supreme Court ruling on tariff authority threatening the plan’s funding.

Overview

  • Trump said Friday the payments will not arrive before Christmas and would come sometime next year, aimed at low- and middle-income Americans while excluding high earners.
  • The White House says it is exploring legal options, but senior officials acknowledge any direct payments would need legislation from Congress.
  • NEC Director Kevin Hassett contends tariff receipts could cover $2,000 checks, yet Treasury data and nonpartisan estimates suggest revenue falls short of the roughly $300–$600 billion cost of a broad round.
  • The Supreme Court is weighing the administration’s tariff authority, a decision that could significantly cut or eliminate the revenue underpinning the proposal.
  • A new poll shows 71% of voters favor the idea but only 37% think checks are likely, aligning with skepticism on prediction markets and tepid reactions from some Republicans.