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Trump Says $2,000 Tariff ‘Dividend’ Won’t Arrive This Year

Congressional authorization remains required, with a Supreme Court decision that could curtail tariff revenue.

Overview

  • Trump told reporters the payments would come “sometime next year,” confirming they will not be sent before Christmas.
  • National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said tariff receipts could provide room for payments but emphasized that legislation is needed, as the White House says it is exploring legal options.
  • The IRS confirmed no federal stimulus or tariff-rebate deposits are scheduled for November and warned the public to watch for phishing scams.
  • Independent estimates from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget and the Tax Foundation put a single round near $600 billion, likely above tariff revenues and partly offset by higher consumer prices.
  • The Supreme Court heard arguments questioning the administration’s tariff authority, and while a poll shows 71% support for the proposal, prediction markets assign low odds of checks going out in 2025.