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Trump Poised for Historic Popular Vote Win in Tight Race Against Harris

Polls indicate a close contest between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, with potential for an Electoral College blowout despite a tight popular vote race.

  • Donald Trump could become the first Republican to win the popular vote since George W. Bush in 2004, according to election analyst Harry Enten.
  • Recent polls show a near tie between Trump and Kamala Harris, with some surveys giving Trump a slight edge and others favoring Harris.
  • Despite the close national polls, there is a 60% chance of an Electoral College blowout, with the winner potentially securing over 300 votes.
  • Trump's strong polling in states like California, Florida, New York, and Texas may not translate to Electoral College success, as these are not key battlegrounds.
  • The race remains historically close, but polling errors in swing states could lead to unexpected outcomes, as seen in previous elections.
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