Trump Leads GOP Nomination Race Ahead of Iowa Caucus

Abortion Absent as Key Issue, Christie Drops Out, Cold Weather Could Impact Voter Turnout

• Former President Donald Trump is leading the Republican nomination race for the 2024 presidential election, with a commanding lead of over 30 points in Iowa. His main challengers, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, are competing for second place.
• Trump's campaign has set a benchmark for success in Iowa at 13 points, which would break the record for the largest victory margin in the state's caucus history.
• Despite Trump's lead, the issue of abortion has largely been absent in the lead-up to the Iowa Republican caucuses, with GOP voters citing concerns about the border, the economy, and America's standing in the world as their top issues.
• Chris Christie, the only serious candidate who was running against Trump, dropped out of the race, potentially paving the way for a strong showing by Nikki Haley in Iowa and New Hampshire.
• Trump's campaign has set up a data and ground game of nearly 2,000 precinct captains throughout Iowa, aiming to mobilize supporters on Election Day. However, sub-zero temperatures forecasted for Monday night could potentially suppress voter turnout.

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