Trump Leads Biden in Early 2024 Polls, But Voter Turnout Remains Key

With both parties facing challenges in mobilizing their base, the 2024 election could hinge on which side better engages lower-propensity voters.

Trump currently leads Biden in national polling averages and in several battleground states, raising concerns for Democrats.
Democrats worry about lackluster support from key voting blocs, including younger voters and minorities, amid dissatisfaction with Biden.
Republicans face skepticism from their base over mail-in voting and have seen underperformance in recent special elections.
Polls suggest Trump's support is stronger among registered voters than likely voters, indicating potential turnout challenges.
Both parties are strategizing to mobilize lower-propensity voters, recognizing their crucial role in the upcoming election.