Overview

• A leaked Defense Intelligence Agency report estimates the June 21 strikes on Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan have set back Iran’s nuclear program by only a few months rather than wiping it out
• Intelligence indicates Iran relocated much of its highly enriched uranium to undisclosed sites before the US bombers and Tomahawk missiles struck
• The White House and President Trump have dismissed the preliminary assessment as “flat-out wrong,” maintaining the strikes achieved total destruction
• International assessments diverge: the DIA says key underground structures remain largely intact, Israel’s Atomic Energy Commission credits a multi-year delay and Iran’s Foreign Ministry confirms severe above-ground damage
• US and Iranian officials have entered diplomatic talks under a fragile ceasefire while Iran’s parliament has moved to suspend cooperation with the IAEA