Overview
- An average of recent CNBC and Washington Post polls puts President Donald Trump’s net approval at roughly minus 22, a level analysts on CNN called the lowest for a president at this point in a second term this century.
- Independent voters are the main driver of the decline with net approval near minus 45, a reading that analysts say is worse than Richard Nixon’s at a comparable point.
- Polling from The Washington Post showed a net approval as low as minus 24 in April while CNBC recorded a record low near minus 19 in July, producing the current combined average.
- Data flagged on Monday from the betting platform Kalshi showed a sudden jump in the odds of U.S. average gasoline reaching $4.10 a gallon, a market signal that commentators linked to a recent U.S.-Iran flare-up and a more than 15 percent one-week rise in oil prices.
- Analysts warn that continued fuel and consumer-price pressure could deepen voter displeasure and materially raise risks to Republican prospects in the 2026 midterms.