Overview
- In a Wall Street Journal interview, Trump said he cannot predict whether Republicans will keep the House, citing uncertainty over when investment-driven benefits will be felt by voters.
- An NBC News Decision Desk survey puts his approval at 42% and disapproval at 58%, while Reuters/Ipsos shows just 31% approve of his handling of the cost of living.
- The share of Republicans identifying with the MAGA movement has fallen to 50% from 57% in April, and strong approval among MAGA backers is down eight points in NBC’s polling.
- Reports describe GOP pollsters and insiders urging a sharper economic-populist focus, with Rasmussen’s Mark Mitchell saying Trump was less receptive to that message than expected.
- White House allies say Trump will hold near-weekly rallies in 2026 to boost turnout for vulnerable Republicans as the party defends a slim House majority against typical midterm headwinds.