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Trump Claims 64% 'Real' Approval After Promoting Outlier Trafalgar Poll

Major polling averages place his approval in the low 40s or high 30s, with analysts highlighting steep losses among independents.

Overview

  • Trump posted on Truth Social that polls are "rigged" and asserted a "real" 64% approval, echoing his claim that the U.S. is the "hottest" country.
  • The cited Trafalgar Group survey of likely voters found 50.2% approval against 44.6% disapproval from Dec. 26–27 with a 2.9% margin of error.
  • Broader measures show lower standing, including Silver Bulletin’s 42.2% December average with a net approval near -12 and RealClearPolitics at 43.4% approval versus 53.3% disapproval.
  • Recent national polls also show weakness, with Reuters/Ipsos at 39% approval and Gallup’s late-December reading at 36%.
  • Experts note methodological differences and nonresponse challenges behind poll gaps, as the White House defends its economic record and GOP strategist Karl Rove cautions that voters are tiring of Trump’s hyperbole.