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Trump Budget Bill’s Dynamic Score Shows $2.8 Trillion Deficit Increase

Senate Republicans plan deeper Medicaid cuts to offset the projected surge in borrowing.

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Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
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Overview

  • The CBO’s dynamic score finds Trump’s “one, big beautiful bill” will raise federal deficits by $2.8 trillion over the next decade.
  • The analysis factors in higher GDP growth and interest rates, surpassing the CBO’s earlier static estimate of a $2.4 trillion deficit increase.
  • Projected borrowing costs would boost interest payments by $441 billion and increase public debt by $3.3 trillion by 2034.
  • Senate Republicans are drafting deeper Medicaid cuts, including work requirements for parents of teens, to help finance more permanent tax breaks.
  • The proposal extends and expands the 2017 tax cuts, introduces over $1 trillion in new tax breaks and ramps up defense and homeland security funding by $350 billion.