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Trump-Brokered Israel-Iran Ceasefire Drives Stocks Closer to Record Highs

Lower oil prices driven by eased supply concerns propelled U.S. stocks toward records as the Fed holds off on rate cuts until tariff effects emerge.

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Four thousand U.S. dollars are counted out by a banker counting currency at a bank in Westminster, Colorado November 3, 2009.  REUTERS/Rick Wilking/File Photo
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 23, 2025. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
A logo is displayed at the Nasdaq stock market site in New York City, U.S., April 7, 2025. REUTERS/Kylie Cooper/File photo

Overview

  • A U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Israel and Iran held after early violations, easing Middle East tensions and boosting risk appetite.
  • The Nasdaq 100 closed at a fresh record high and the S&P 500 finished within 1% of its all-time peak on broad gains in tech stocks.
  • Oil futures plunged over 6% in two days as worries about supply disruptions faded, helping to calm inflation pressures.
  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell said further rate cuts will wait until the impact of tariffs is clear, while some colleagues have hinted at possible easing in July if inflation remains muted.
  • Positive earnings surprises from Uber’s Waymo partnership, Carnival’s profit beat and chipmaker strength in Intel and AMD underpinned the market rally despite a drop in consumer confidence over tariffs and job-market fears.