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Trump-Brokered Gaza Ceasefire Takes Hold as Netanyahu Faces Domestic Tests

European leverage plus international court actions now shape whether the deal endures.

Overview

  • Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu accepted the ceasefire under a convergence of pressure from President Donald Trump, senior military commanders and a mobilized Israeli public, according to new analysis.
  • European trade and investment clout has become a key lever on Israel, with an EU review of agreements recently floated that could put roughly a third of Israeli trade at risk.
  • International legal moves are constraining Israeli options, including an ICC arrest warrant that affected Netanyahu’s travel and ICJ rulings on genocide risk, occupation and settlements.
  • Netanyahu’s far-right partners Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir threatened to quit over the truce but stayed in the cabinet, while the prime minister is slated to testify this week in his long-running corruption trial.
  • Hamas agreed to Trump’s proposal under pressure from Turkey and Qatar, and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan warned that any sabotage of the truce would carry a heavy price.