Overview
- An Emerson College poll conducted Nov. 3–4 places President Trump at 41% approval and 49% disapproval, marking a new low of his second term.
- YouGov/Economist data shows his net rating among his own voters down to +70, four points lower than late summer, with softer marks on the shutdown and the economy.
- Poll trackers cluster in the low 40s for approval, including Gallup at 41%, Economist/YouGov at 39% approval and 58% disapproval, and a RealClearPolitics net near -9.
- The prolonged shutdown has curtailed SNAP benefits despite USDA tapping a $4.65 billion emergency fund, and federal judges ordered payments resumed as CBO warns of a 1–2 point hit to GDP and $7–$14 billion in costs.
- Democrats posted off-year election gains and hold a 44% to 40% edge on Emerson’s 2026 generic ballot, with higher reported enthusiasm among Democratic voters.