Overview

• His national job approval fell to 45 percent approve and 52 percent disapprove, yielding a net rating of –7—near his lowest second-term level.
• Approval among Black voters dropped to 24.1 percent this week while disapproval climbed to 71.5 percent, according to a Decision Desk HQ average through July 7.
• Trump’s handling of health care swung from a +9 net rating at term start to –9 after signing the One Big Beautiful Bill, with 41 percent approving and 50 percent disapproving.
• The Congressional Budget Office estimates the bill will add $3.4 trillion to deficits over the next decade and strip Medicaid coverage from 11.8 million people.
• Republican data scientists and political analysts warn that the fragile Black voter gains of 2024 are likely to be the first demographic erosion as his overall approval slumps further.