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Trump Approval Near Lows, Underwater Across All Swing States

Despite a third-week shutdown, several trackers show a slight uptick in his rating, underscoring hardened polarization.

Overview

  • A national Morning Consult survey from Oct. 10–12 puts approval at 45% and disapproval at 53%, tying a second-term low with a net rating of -8.
  • Morning Consult’s state data shows negative net approval in all seven key battlegrounds—Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina.
  • Nate Silver’s tracker records a net -8 (44% approve, 52% disapprove) and notes a small, unusual improvement during the shutdown period.
  • YouGov/Economist polling finds modest rebounds among women, Hispanics and voters 65+, even as separate polls show slight softening inside the Republican base.
  • The shutdown has stretched into a third week with repeated failed Senate votes on the House stopgap, polls still show more voters blaming Republicans and Trump, and officials warn of growing economic costs.