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Trump Administration's Tariff Formula Error Fuels Economic Turmoil

Economists reveal major miscalculation inflating tariffs fourfold, with $6.6 trillion reportedly lost on Wall Street as officials defend the policy.

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Source: United States Trade Representative; Graphic: Kavya Beheraj/Axios

Overview

  • The American Enterprise Institute (AEI) uncovered a significant mathematical error in the Trump administration's tariff formula, inflating rates by a factor of four.
  • The error stems from using retail price elasticity instead of import price elasticity, leading to tariffs far higher than intended, such as 46% on Vietnam instead of 12.2%.
  • Economists argue the formula lacks grounding in economic theory or trade law, raising concerns about the administration's methodology.
  • The tariffs, implemented on April 2, 2025, have reportedly caused a $6.6 trillion loss on Wall Street, intensifying criticism of the policy's economic impact.
  • Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins defended the tariffs but admitted she had not reviewed the AEI report, while an anonymous official claimed the administration prioritized 'big numbers' to project strength.