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Trump Administration Weighs Pronatalist Policies as Experts Warn of Economic Barriers

Proposals like a $5,000 baby bonus face skepticism amid persistent affordability challenges in housing, childcare, and healthcare.

A person pushes a baby carriage
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in Colorado Springs in 2016.
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Overview

  • The Trump administration is evaluating pronatalist measures to boost U.S. birth rates, including a $5,000 baby bonus, motherhood medals, and scholarship preferences for parents.
  • Experts argue that systemic economic barriers, such as high childcare costs and lack of paid parental leave, undermine the effectiveness of one-time financial incentives.
  • The U.S. fertility rate remains at a near-record low of 1.6 births per woman, continuing a downward trend since the 2010 Great Recession.
  • A LendingTree survey found that 46% of parents have fewer children due to financial constraints, with the cost of raising a child now nearing $300,000.
  • Past international attempts at similar policies, such as Australia's 2004 baby bonus, resulted in only short-term increases in birth rates without addressing long-term affordability issues.