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Tropical Storm Nadine Unlikely as Atlantic Disturbances Struggle

Potential tropical storms in the Atlantic face unfavorable conditions, reducing chances of significant development.

  • The National Hurricane Center reports a 20-30% chance of the Atlantic disturbance, Invest 94L, developing into Tropical Storm Nadine within the next week.
  • Strong upper-level winds and dry air are inhibiting development of 94L, despite warm ocean temperatures that typically support storm growth.
  • Forecast models predict 94L will bring moderate rainfall to the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico, but dissipate by Sunday.
  • Another disturbance near Honduras poses a low risk of storm development but is expected to bring heavy rain to parts of Belize and southeast Mexico.
  • The Madden-Julian Oscillation could increase tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic in early November, though current disturbances lack favorable conditions.
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