Overview

• Tropical Storm Lorenzo is far from land and carries no watches or warnings, with the National Hurricane Center reporting no hazards to land.
• An 11 a.m. ET advisory placed the center about 1,385 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands with maximum sustained winds near 45 mph, moving northwest around 15 mph.
• Official guidance calls for a turn north then northeast this week over open water, while several models suggest a later eastward bend and possible southward loop.
• Intensity remains uncertain, with some model scenarios pointing to further weakening and others allowing for strengthening if shear relaxes, though dry air and the Saharan Air Layer could inhibit growth.
• Satellite and microwave imagery show a small, partly disorganized storm with much convection displaced east of the center, and forecasters are separately watching a disturbance that could reach the Caribbean next week.