Overview

• Lorenzo was about 1,330 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands early Tuesday with maximum sustained winds near 60 mph, moving northwest around 15 mph.
• National Hurricane Center guidance calls for a turn north by Tuesday night and then northeast Wednesday and Thursday, with no watches, warnings, or land hazards in effect.
• Several forecast models now depict an eastward turn later this week followed by a southward bend that could trap the storm under the subtropical ridge and hook it toward the equator.
• Intensity projections remain uncertain, with scenarios ranging from weakening to a tropical depression to possible strengthening toward Category 1–2, reflecting the storm’s small, sensitive core.
• Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to roughly 175 miles from the center, and some local forecasts suggest Lorenzo could become non-tropical by the end of the weekend.