Particle.news
Download on the App Store
21 ARTICLES
·
3h ago

Tropical Storm Jerry Poised to Become a Hurricane Near the Leewards Before Turning Out to Sea

Forecasters say a northward turn will spare the U.S. mainland from direct impacts as watches go up in the northern Leeward Islands.

This image shows the tropical hazards outlook through Oct. 28 from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center. The map highlights areas with increased tropical development potential in the southern Gulf of Mexico, western Caribbean Sea, and eastern Pacific Ocean as the Central American Gyre — a broad, slowly rotating system of low atmospheric pressure — becomes more active.
Image
Image
Image

Overview

  • The National Hurricane Center reported Jerry with sustained winds near 50 mph on Wednesday, moving west-northwest at about 23 mph roughly 835–890 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands.
  • Tropical-storm watches cover parts of the northern Leewards, where 2 to 4 inches of rain, localized flash flooding, and hazardous surf and rip currents are expected Thursday into Friday.
  • On the official track, the center passes near or just north of the Leeward Islands late Thursday into Friday before a turn north and then northeast keeps the system offshore of the U.S.
  • Model guidance generally keeps the storm east of Bermuda after the weekend, and while intensity outcomes vary, Jerry is forecast to reach Category 1 strength within the next day.
  • Separately, a disturbance in the Bay of Campeche has a low (about 10%) chance of development before moving into southern Mexico, where heavy rain and gusty winds are likely.