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1h ago

Tropical Storm Jerry Nears Leeward Islands With 65 mph Winds

Forecasters warn of heavy rain with dangerous surf for the Leeward Islands.

This image shows the tropical hazards outlook through Oct. 28 from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center. The map highlights areas with increased tropical development potential in the southern Gulf of Mexico, western Caribbean Sea, and eastern Pacific Ocean as the Central American Gyre — a broad, slowly rotating system of low atmospheric pressure — becomes more active.
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Overview

  • Tropical Storm Jerry was about 440 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands early Thursday, moving west-northwest at 18 mph with sustained winds of 65 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center.
  • Tropical storm watches cover Antigua, Barbuda and Anguilla; St. Kitts, Nevis and Montserrat; St. Barthelemy and St. Martin; Sint Maarten; Saba and St. Eustatius; and Guadeloupe and adjacent islands.
  • Two to four inches of rain are forecast from Thursday into early Friday with a risk of flash flooding, and swells are expected to bring life-threatening surf and rip currents.
  • On the current forecast track, the center will pass near or just north of the northern Leeward Islands late Thursday into Friday, with a northward turn over the Atlantic likely to keep the system offshore of the U.S.
  • Separately, a trough in the Bay of Campeche has a low (about 10%) chance of development before moving inland over southern Mexico, while a developing coastal low is expected to raise rip-current and coastal flooding risks along parts of the U.S. East Coast.