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Tropical Storm Imelda Forms Near the Bahamas With Hurricane Forecast as Track Bends Away From U.S. East Coast

Forecasts point to a turn away from the Southeast by midweek with flooding rain in the Bahamas and life‑threatening surf along much of the East Coast.

Overview

  • Air Force reconnaissance found 40 mph winds with the center near the central Bahamas and a northward motion around 7 mph on Sunday afternoon.
  • Tropical storm warnings are in effect for parts of the Bahamas, and a watch is posted along Florida’s east coast from the Palm BeachMartin County line to the Flagler–Volusia line.
  • The National Hurricane Center projects strengthening into a hurricane by late Monday or Tuesday, followed by an east‑northeast turn that keeps the core offshore of the Southeast.
  • Rainfall totals of 6–12 inches are expected in the northwest Bahamas and 2–6 inches in eastern Cuba, with a 1–3 foot storm surge in the islands and a risk of mudslides in higher terrain.
  • Large swells from Imelda and major Hurricane Humberto will drive dangerous rip currents along much of the U.S. East Coast early this week, while Palm Beach and St. Lucie county schools plan normal operations Monday.