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Tropical Storm Humberto Forms as Second System Nears Bahamas, Raising Forecast Uncertainty

NOAA reconnaissance flights will gather data to clarify tracks given possible storm interaction.

Overview

  • The National Hurricane Center confirms Humberto in the central Atlantic and projects likely hurricane strength this weekend.
  • A disturbance designated Invest 94L over the northeastern Caribbean has a high chance of developing near the Bahamas within days after producing heavy rain over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.
  • Forecasters warn the proximity of Humberto and 94L could alter each system’s path and strength, leaving potential U.S. East Coast impacts uncertain.
  • Hurricane‑hunter missions over both systems are scheduled over the next 48 hours to improve model guidance and reduce low confidence in the forecast.
  • Separately, Gabrielle is heading toward the Azores and Europe as a post‑tropical system, Pacific Hurricane Narda has weakened to Category 1 but is driving hazardous surf and rain along Mexico’s west coast, and Mexico’s SMN says Humberto poses no threat to its territory.