Overview

• The latest NHC advisory places Gabrielle about 845 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands with 50 mph winds, moving west-northwest near 15 mph.
• The storm remains poorly organized because of westerly wind shear and dry air, with little change in strength expected over the next 48 hours.
• Gradual intensification is forecast late this weekend, and Gabrielle is likely to reach Category 1 strength by Monday as it curves north and passes east of Bermuda.
• No coastal watches or warnings are in effect, and direct impacts to the U.S., Caribbean, and Gulf are not expected, though higher surf and dangerous rip currents are possible.
• The NHC is also monitoring a tropical wave emerging off Africa with a 20% seven-day chance of development, while another central Atlantic disturbance has 0% odds.