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Tropical Storm Gabrielle Holds Strength in Central Atlantic as Track Uncertainty Persists

Forecasters say an expected northward turn will determine potential impacts for Bermuda.

Overview

  • Gabrielle is producing sustained winds near 50–52 mph and moving west-northwest around 14–15 mph with a central pressure near 1004 mb, located near 20°N, 50°W on Thursday.
  • The National Hurricane Center expects little change in strength or a brief dip in the near term due to structural issues, with possible re-intensification and a chance to reach hurricane strength later this weekend or early next week, though forecast confidence is low.
  • Guidance indicates the storm will pass north of the eastern Caribbean, with Puerto Rico and the Leeward Islands spared direct impacts but facing hazardous surf and rip currents.
  • Bermuda is advised to monitor updates, with some forecasts calling for periods of rain and gusty winds early next week depending on the timing and sharpness of the northward turn.
  • Gabrielle is the seventh named storm of 2025, ending a rare multiday lull in Atlantic activity, and another disturbance emerging from near Africa is being tracked with no imminent land threat.