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Tropical Storm Gabrielle Forecast to Strengthen Into a Hurricane and Recurve at Sea

Forecasts show a northward turn east of Bermuda as wind shear plus dry air limit near-term strengthening.

Overview

  • Tropical Storm Gabrielle held near 50 mph winds Thursday and was about 845 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands, moving west-northwest around 15 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center.
  • No coastal watches or warnings are in effect as the storm remains far from land and is expected to stay over the open Atlantic through early next week.
  • Forecasters project little change in intensity over the next 48 hours, with gradual strengthening late this weekend and a likely transition to Category 1 early next week.
  • Most model guidance shows Gabrielle turning north and passing east of Bermuda next week, though hurricane specialists note forecast confidence remains lower than average.
  • The NHC is also tracking two waves: one west of the Cabo Verde Islands with 0% development chances and another emerging off Africa with about a 20% chance of formation over seven days.