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last mo.

Tropical Storm Erin Poised to Become First Hurricane of 2025 Season

Set to become a hurricane late Friday, Erin is projected to rapidly intensify north of the Leeward Islands under unusually warm Atlantic conditions.

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This weather satellite photo of the Gulf of Mexico taken Thursday is superimposed with lightning data and a label to indicate where the most intense thunderstorms were occurring with Invest 98L. The National Hurricane Center expects the tropical system to spend 24 to 48 hours over the western Gulf of Mexico, likely coming ashore in northern Mexico or South Texas by Saturday.
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Overview

  • Erin strengthened to near-hurricane force with 70 mph winds by early Friday and is forecast to reach hurricane status later in the day, with a chance of major-hurricane intensity by Sunday.
  • Tropical-storm watches cover several northern Leeward Islands, including Anguilla and Barbuda, as authorities warn of heavy rain, life-threatening surf and deadly rip currents this weekend.
  • Hurricane Hunter aircraft are scheduled to fly into Erin on Friday to gather in-situ data aimed at refining its intensity and track forecasts.
  • Forecasters emphasize that shifts in the Bermuda High and an approaching mid-latitude trough will dictate whether Erin recurves into the open Atlantic or turns toward the Bahamas, Bermuda and U.S. East Coast.
  • Erin’s precursor system caused deadly flash floods in São Vicente, Cabo Verde, prompting World Bank emergency assistance and highlighting vulnerabilities in storm-source regions.