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Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Eastern Atlantic and Poised to Become Season’s First Hurricane

Forecasters expect Erin to become a hurricane by Wednesday, steering northward into open Atlantic waters generating hazardous swells offshore.

This NHC graphic highlights areas being watched in the Atlantic, with Invest 97-L shown in red.
In this weather satellite photo of the eastern Atlantic Ocean taken Monday morning, a label is superimposed to show the location of tropical disturbance Invest 97L off the western coast of North Africa.
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Overview

  • The National Hurricane Center named Invest 97L as Tropical Storm Erin on Monday, locating it about 280 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands with 45 mph winds and moving west at 15–20 mph.
  • NHC forecasts call for Erin to reach hurricane strength by Wednesday and many models project it could become a major Category 3 hurricane by this weekend as it moves through the main development region.
  • Ensemble model guidance shows a likely northward recurvature into the open Atlantic, though small shifts in steering currents could alter the storm’s path and potential impacts.
  • Erin is already producing heavy rain and gusty winds over the Cabo Verde Islands and is expected to generate large swells, high surf and dangerous rip currents along a broad stretch of the Atlantic basin.
  • Other Atlantic disturbances currently have low odds of development and NOAA’s outlook maintains an above-average 2025 season with 13–18 named storms anticipated.