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Tropical Storm Dolly Forms in Central Atlantic, Forecast to Quickly Dissipate

El Niño-enhanced wind shear is expected to break up the storm and leave remnant moisture that could bring rain to the northeast Caribbean.

Overview

  • Tropical Storm Dolly formed in the central Atlantic on Thursday and was reported with about 65 km/h sustained winds while moving west at roughly 38–39 km/h.
  • Forecasters say strong vertical wind shear tied to the current El Niño should rapidly weaken or dissipate Dolly by Saturday, ending its brief life as a tropical storm.
  • Models and analysts project the system’s remnant moisture will move westward and increase rainfall across the northeast Caribbean, including Puerto Rico, on Sunday and Monday.
  • Mexican authorities have not issued watches or warnings because Dolly is distant and expected to weaken, and Mexico’s near-term rain forecast is being driven by local systems such as the Mexican monsoon and a separate low offshore Jalisco/Colima.
  • Dolly is the fourth named storm of the 2026 Atlantic season and ended a more than two-week lull; officials urge residents in the northeast Caribbean to monitor official updates for changing rainfall or flood guidance.