Overview
- The National Hurricane Center upgraded Tropical Depression One-E to Tropical Storm Amanda on June 3, with sustained winds near 40 mph and a north-northwest motion of about 8 mph.
- Amanda is centered well offshore and the NHC forecasts it will stay at sea and weaken over the next several days as upper-level winds and drier air take hold.
- Forecasters are also watching two nearby eastern Pacific disturbances that the NHC assigns roughly 50% and 20% chances of development over seven days.
- Model guidance and the FOX Forecast Center expect 3 to 5 inches of rain over the next 10 days across southeastern Mexico and Central America regardless of whether these systems make landfall.
- Sea-surface temperatures are about 2 to 3°C above average, a pattern consistent with a strengthening El Niño that typically boosts Eastern Pacific cyclone activity while lowering Atlantic odds.