Overview

• National Hurricane Center gives a low-pressure system south of southern Mexico a 90 percent chance to become Tropical Storm Alvin before the end of May.
• If Alvin forms, it would mark the earliest eastern Pacific named storm on record, arriving well ahead of the June 10 historical average.
• NOAA forecasts a 60 percent chance of an above-normal Atlantic season with 13 to 19 named storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes and 3 to 5 major hurricanes.
• The NHC is tracking two tropical waves in the Atlantic basin but does not expect either to develop into a named storm within the next seven days.
• Computer models indicate a potential Gulf of Mexico disturbance in early June as a subtropical ridge weakness allows tropical moisture to lift north.